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* Some “new” planets discovered orbiting stars other than our sun have faded away, as researchers have challenged the data. * Recently, a group of astronomers said that the discovery of ice on the moon last year was not ice at all but probably a misreading of a spurious signal-much ado about nothing. Lately, there certainly have been enough wrong turns to go around, all of them fairly typical examples of science’s slow zigzag toward the truth.
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Being “not even wrong,” as the late physicist Wolfgang Pauli put it, is far more devastating-because it means your idea isn’t even worth disputing. “If people were very conservative-if they always published only what they expected to find-there would be few new discoveries.”īeing wrong is not the worst thing that can happen to a scientist. “When people are trying to do very difficult things, it’s expected that some results will fall by the wayside,” said Caltech astrophysicist Roger Blanford. Stumbling is not only inevitable, but necessary. It offered a glimpse inside the well-functioning, if messy, gears of real science, where wrong ideas are as important to the health of the enterprise as right ones. Scientists, in other words, would come off as people who don’t know which end is up.Īt the same time, others suggest that the episode is an example of the way science ought to work, regardless of the validity of this particular study. Astrophysicist Lawrence Krauss of Case Western University worried that laypeople would be deluded-once again-"into thinking that science discovers lots of stuff which later on is always disproved.” Some scientists found the whole episode discouraging. “This is going to go away,” said University of Washington astronomer Christopher Stubbs on the day the paper was published. By week’s end, it seemed, the idea that the universe knows up from down was history. Researchers responded with a half-dozen rebuttals on the Internet, poking holes in both the scientific data and the analysis. Nevertheless, the story appeared on the front pages of many newspapers.